Esteghlal Khuzestan 0-0 Aluminium Arak — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 15 Aug 2024

📅15/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.67
Draw
27%
2.66
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.33
Over 2.5
37%
3.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.44
No
61%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
1.78
2-3 Goals
42%
1.93
4-5 Goals
17%
8.23
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
34%
+7.1pp
26%
Draw
34%
-7.9pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+0.8pp
63%
Under 2.5
72%
-8.9pp
37%
Over 2.5
28%
+8.9pp
39%
BTTS Yes
37%
+2.4pp
61%
BTTS No
63%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Esteghlal Khuzestan EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Aluminium Arak EU Bookmakers 34%
+1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +2%
0.81/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.14
-19% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -21%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
298 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Esteghlal Khuzestan
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Aluminium Arak
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
12.04.2024 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 0-1 HT 0-1 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
21.02.2024 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 3-2 HT 0-1 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
27.10.2023 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-0 HT 1-0 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
15.08.2023 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 1-0 HT 0-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
07.04.2023 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 0-1 HT 0-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
21.10.2022 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 0-0 HT 0-0 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
POST-MATCH Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Aluminium Arak
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Esteghlal Khuzestan and Aluminium Arak fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Esteghlal Khuzestan at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Esteghlal Khuzestan had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Esteghlal Khuzestan and 0.50 for Aluminium Arak.

What was the final score of Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Aluminium Arak?

Esteghlal Khuzestan 0-0 Aluminium Arak in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 15/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Aluminium Arak?

Before kick-off our model rated a Esteghlal Khuzestan win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Esteghlal Khuzestan 41%, draw 26%, Aluminium Arak 32%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Esteghlal Khuzestan) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Esteghlal Khuzestan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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