Valladolid 3-0 Ceuta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 15 Aug 2025

📅15/08/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
21%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.64
Over 2.5
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.56
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
4.2
6+ Goals
9%
21.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.67
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
11%
13.4
X/1
14%
4.41
X/2
9%
7.7
X/X
12%
4.06
2/1
11%
27.5
2/2
7%
6.31
2/X
5%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
48%
+3.0pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.1pp
21%
Away Win
24%
-3.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.7pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valladolid EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Ceuta EU Bookmakers 28%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-11% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
339 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 72%
28.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
25.8 Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valladolid
3-0
AWAY Ceuta
3.29 xG 0.65
42% Ball Possession 58%
16 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 4
187 Passes 291
67% Pass Accuracy 73%
34 Box Touches 9
24 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Valladolid vs Ceuta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valladolid cruised past Ceuta 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Valladolid as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Valladolid had 42% of the ball to Ceuta's 58%, shots finished 16-5, expected goals 3.29 to 0.65.

What was the final score of Valladolid vs Ceuta?

Valladolid 3-0 Ceuta in the Spain - 2nd Division on 15/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valladolid vs Ceuta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valladolid win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Valladolid 51%, draw 28%, Ceuta 21%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valladolid) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Valladolid) ✗ Under 2.5
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