Burgos 5-1 Cultural Leonesa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 15 Aug 2025

📅15/08/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.89
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
22%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.48
Over 2.5
38%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.27
No
55%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.1
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
18%
5.48
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.58
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.2
X/1
20%
4.03
X/2
8%
8.21
X/X
19%
3.65
2/1
8%
32.0
2/2
9%
7.55
2/X
7%
16.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
50%
-3.3pp
32%
Draw
29%
+2.7pp
22%
Away Win
21%
+0.7pp
62%
Under 2.5
64%
-1.5pp
38%
Over 2.5
36%
+1.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.8pp
55%
BTTS No
60%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Burgos EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Cultural Leonesa EU Bookmakers 24%
+10% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -4%
1.55/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.71
+7% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -20%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
346 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 73%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.5
22.8 Crosses 10.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Burgos
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Cultural Leonesa
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 0
30.07.2025 Burgos Burgos 0-0 HT 0-0 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa HAZ
09.08.2024 Burgos Burgos 0-1 HT 0-1 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa HAZ
20.02.2021 Burgos Burgos 2-1 HT 0-1 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa İS3
29.11.2020 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa 1-1 HT 0-0 Burgos Burgos İS3
09.02.2020 Burgos Burgos 2-0 HT 1-0 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa İS3
22.09.2019 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa 4-0 HT 2-0 Burgos Burgos İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Burgos
5-1
AWAY Cultural Leonesa
4.08 xG 0.25
65% Ball Possession 35%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
498 Passes 237
91% Pass Accuracy 79%
26 Box Touches 4
15 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Burgos vs Cultural Leonesa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Burgos swept aside Cultural Leonesa 5-1. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Burgos as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Burgos had 65% of the ball to Cultural Leonesa's 35%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 4.08 to 0.25.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Burgos and 1.17 for Cultural Leonesa.

What was the final score of Burgos vs Cultural Leonesa?

Burgos 5-1 Cultural Leonesa in the Spain - 2nd Division on 15/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Burgos vs Cultural Leonesa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Burgos win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Burgos 46%, draw 32%, Cultural Leonesa 22%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Burgos) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Burgos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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