Burgos 0-1 Cultural Leonesa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 9 Aug 2024

📅09/08/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.27
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
47%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.9
No
61%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
29%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
40%
-9.5pp
23%
Draw
28%
-5.1pp
47%
Away Win
32%
+14.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.6pp
39%
BTTS Yes
49%
-9.2pp
61%
BTTS No
51%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Burgos EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Cultural Leonesa EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +60% / +60%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +137% /
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
346 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Burgos
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Cultural Leonesa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
20.02.2021 Burgos Burgos 2-1 HT 0-1 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa İS3
29.11.2020 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa 1-1 HT 0-0 Burgos Burgos İS3
09.02.2020 Burgos Burgos 2-0 HT 1-0 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa İS3
22.09.2019 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa 4-0 HT 2-0 Burgos Burgos İS3
30.03.2014 Burgos Burgos 0-0 HT 0-0 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Burgos
0-1
AWAY Cultural Leonesa
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Burgos vs Cultural Leonesa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cultural Leonesa edged past Burgos 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cultural Leonesa as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Burgos had 46% of the ball to Cultural Leonesa's 54%, shots finished 12-5.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Burgos had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Burgos and 1.20 for Cultural Leonesa.

What was the final score of Burgos vs Cultural Leonesa?

Burgos 0-1 Cultural Leonesa in the Friendlies on 09/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Burgos vs Cultural Leonesa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cultural Leonesa win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Burgos 31%, draw 23%, Cultural Leonesa 47%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cultural Leonesa), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cultural Leonesa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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