Real Oviedo 1-2 Leganes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 9 Aug 2024

📅09/08/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
33%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.67
Over 2.5
35%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
1.88
No
63%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-0.8pp
32%
Draw
27%
+5.1pp
33%
Away Win
37%
-4.3pp
65%
Under 2.5
56%
+8.7pp
35%
Over 2.5
44%
-8.7pp
37%
BTTS Yes
49%
-12.1pp
63%
BTTS No
51%
+12.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Oviedo EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Leganes EU Bookmakers 40%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
0.09/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.24/0.17
-94% / +131% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -82% / +150%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
308 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Oviedo
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Leganes
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.70 xG 0.63
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
342 Passes 303
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Box Touches 13
21 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.01.2024 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 1-0 HT 0-0 Leganes Leganes İS2
07.10.2023 Leganes Leganes 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
18.03.2023 Leganes Leganes 0-1 HT 0-0 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
21.08.2022 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 1-0 HT 0-0 Leganes Leganes İS2
10.04.2022 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 1-0 HT 0-0 Leganes Leganes İS2
14.11.2021 Leganes Leganes 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Oviedo
1-2
AWAY Leganes
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Real Oviedo vs Leganes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leganes edged past Real Oviedo 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 32% / 33%) promised a tight game; Leganes found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Real Oviedo had 55% of the ball to Leganes's 45%, shots finished 8-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Oviedo had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Real Oviedo and 0.00 for Leganes.

What was the final score of Real Oviedo vs Leganes?

Real Oviedo 1-2 Leganes in the Friendlies on 09/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Oviedo vs Leganes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Oviedo win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Real Oviedo 35%, draw 32%, Leganes 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Real Oviedo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HAZ More Friendlies
9 Aug 2024
13:00 Burgos vs Cultural Leonesa Analysis →
18:35 Clermont vs Rodez Analysis →
19:30 St. Pauli vs Atalanta Analysis →
20:00 Real Zaragoza vs Levante Analysis →
20:00 Union Berlin vs Real Sociedad Analysis →
20:30 Tarazona vs Mirandes Analysis →