Real Oviedo 1-0 Leganes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.05
Draw
37%
2.83
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
1.36
Over 2.5
29%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.51
No
62%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
1.83
2-3 Goals
39%
1.89
4-5 Goals
15%
7.66
6+ Goals
7%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.03
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
9%
16.3
X/1
13%
4.01
X/2
8%
7.14
X/X
23%
3.12
2/1
8%
34.0
2/2
10%
6.72
2/X
6%
17.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
45%
-7.2pp
38%
Draw
32%
+5.8pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.4pp
71%
Under 2.5
70%
+1.0pp
29%
Over 2.5
30%
-1.0pp
38%
BTTS Yes
36%
+2.7pp
62%
BTTS No
64%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Oviedo EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Leganes EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +15%
1.18/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.22
-5% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +21%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
346 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 73%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
21.9 Crosses 15.5
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Oviedo
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Leganes
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.82 xG 0.78
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
315 Passes 299
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
14 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
07.10.2023 Leganes Leganes 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
18.03.2023 Leganes Leganes 0-1 HT 0-0 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
21.08.2022 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 1-0 HT 0-0 Leganes Leganes İS2
10.04.2022 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 1-0 HT 0-0 Leganes Leganes İS2
14.11.2021 Leganes Leganes 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
14.03.2021 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 1-3 HT 0-1 Leganes Leganes İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Oviedo
1-0
AWAY Leganes
1.04 xG 0.17
64% Ball Possession 36%
12 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 3
481 Passes 239
87% Pass Accuracy 74%
24 Box Touches 10
26 Crosses 9
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Real Oviedo vs Leganes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Oviedo edged past Leganes 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 38% / 25% — and on the day Real Oviedo made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, Real Oviedo had 64% of the ball to Leganes's 36%, shots finished 12-5, expected goals 1.04 to 0.17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Oviedo had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Real Oviedo and 0.50 for Leganes.

What was the final score of Real Oviedo vs Leganes?

Real Oviedo 1-0 Leganes in the Spain - 2nd Division on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Oviedo vs Leganes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Oviedo win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Real Oviedo 38%, draw 38%, Leganes 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/38/25) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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