Cartagena 1-0 Amorebieta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.59
Over 2.5
44%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.4
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
4.92
6+ Goals
9%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.42
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
6%
15.3
X/1
22%
3.83
X/2
8%
8.78
X/X
10%
3.96
2/1
6%
29.5
2/2
11%
7.68
2/X
9%
16.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
52%
-2.0pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.4pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+4.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
-0.1pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cartagena EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Amorebieta EU Bookmakers 23%
+8% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -5%
1.40/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.26
+7% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -12%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
373 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 67%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
23.4 Crosses 21.4
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cartagena
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Amorebieta
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.42 xG 0.94
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 7
325 Passes 316
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
15 Box Touches 26
8 Crosses 34
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.10.2023 Amorebieta Amorebieta 0-0 HT 0-0 Cartagena Cartagena İS2
21.05.2022 Cartagena Cartagena 5-0 HT 2-0 Amorebieta Amorebieta İS2
16.10.2021 Amorebieta Amorebieta 2-3 HT 1-1 Cartagena Cartagena İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cartagena
1-0
AWAY Amorebieta
1.41 xG 0.58
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 1
247 Passes 351
69% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 19
11 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Cartagena vs Amorebieta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cartagena edged past Amorebieta 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cartagena as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Cartagena had 43% of the ball to Amorebieta's 57%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 1.41 to 0.58.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Cartagena had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Cartagena and 0.67 for Amorebieta.

What was the final score of Cartagena vs Amorebieta?

Cartagena 1-0 Amorebieta in the Spain - 2nd Division on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cartagena vs Amorebieta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cartagena win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Cartagena 50%, draw 25%, Amorebieta 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cartagena), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cartagena) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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