Alcorcon 0-0 Real Zaragoza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 27 Jan 2024

Alcorcon
0-0 HT 0-0
Real Zaragoza
📅27/01/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Alcorcon vs Real Zaragoza Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
31%
2.83
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.45
Over 2.5
37%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.16
No
58%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.04
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
17%
6.32
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.83
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
8%
14.7
X/1
11%
5.78
X/2
13%
4.79
X/X
14%
3.27
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
16%
3.71
2/X
9%
14.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
31%
+1.8pp
31%
Draw
32%
-0.9pp
36%
Away Win
37%
-0.9pp
63%
Under 2.5
65%
-2.6pp
37%
Over 2.5
35%
+2.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.2pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Alcorcon v Real Zaragoza — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alcorcon EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Zaragoza EU Bookmakers 40%
-5% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +11%
1.11/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.11
-21% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +6%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
270 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 78%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
20.2 Crosses 16.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1

Alcorcon vs Real Zaragoza Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alcorcon
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Real Zaragoza
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.95 xG 1.36
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
270 Passes 359
74% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.10.2023 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 0-2 HT 0-1 Alcorcon Alcorcon İS2
08.05.2022 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 0-3 HT 0-1 Alcorcon Alcorcon İS2
05.09.2021 Alcorcon Alcorcon 1-2 HT 1-0 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
22.02.2021 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 0-1 HT 0-0 Alcorcon Alcorcon İS2
05.01.2021 Alcorcon Alcorcon 2-1 HT 1-1 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İSPK
03.10.2020 Alcorcon Alcorcon 0-3 HT 0-0 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2

Alcorcon 0-0 Real Zaragoza — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alcorcon
0-0
AWAY Real Zaragoza
0.62 xG 0.54
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 0
222 Passes 266
64% Pass Accuracy 71%
17 Box Touches 10
22 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Alcorcon vs Real Zaragoza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alcorcon and Real Zaragoza played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 31% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Alcorcon had 49% of the ball to Real Zaragoza's 51%, shots finished 9-5, expected goals 0.62 to 0.54.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alcorcon had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Alcorcon and 1.00 for Real Zaragoza.

What was the final score of Alcorcon vs Real Zaragoza?

Alcorcon 0-0 Real Zaragoza in the Spain - 2nd Division on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alcorcon vs Real Zaragoza?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Zaragoza win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Alcorcon 33%, draw 31%, Real Zaragoza 36%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Real Zaragoza) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Zaragoza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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