Eastern Suburbs Brisbane 5-1 Gold Coast United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Queensland NPL, 15 Aug 2025

📅15/08/2025 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.61
Draw
15%
4.19
Away
29%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
Over 2.5
70%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.46
No
36%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
13%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
5%
2/1
13%
2/2
8%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
58%
-1.4pp
15%
Draw
21%
-5.7pp
29%
Away Win
22%
+7.0pp
64%
BTTS Yes
64%
-0.7pp
36%
BTTS No
36%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eastern Suburbs Brisbane EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Gold Coast United EU Bookmakers 25%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
2.02/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.81
+22% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +150%
51% Ball Possession 49%
18 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
342 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
12.5 Crosses 13.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eastern Suburbs Brisbane
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Gold Coast United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.65 xG 1.14
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
246 Passes 308
71% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
04.05.2025 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United 1-4 HT 1-0 Eastern Suburbs Brisbane Eastern Suburbs Brisbane AVSQ
17.06.2023 Eastern Suburbs Brisbane Eastern Suburbs Brisbane 0-3 HT 0-2 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United AVSQ
11.03.2023 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United 1-1 HT 1-0 Eastern Suburbs Brisbane Eastern Suburbs Brisbane AVNPL
20.08.2022 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United 3-2 HT 1-0 Eastern Suburbs Brisbane Eastern Suburbs Brisbane AVSQ
09.08.2022 Eastern Suburbs Brisbane Eastern Suburbs Brisbane 3-1 HT 1-1 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United AVSQ
17.07.2021 Eastern Suburbs Brisbane Eastern Suburbs Brisbane 2-1 HT 1-0 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United AVSQ
POST-MATCH Eastern Suburbs Brisbane vs Gold Coast United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eastern Suburbs Brisbane cruised past Gold Coast United 5-1. Half-time: 4-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Eastern Suburbs Brisbane as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (70%), both teams to score (64%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Eastern Suburbs Brisbane had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Eastern Suburbs Brisbane and 1.67 for Gold Coast United.

What was the final score of Eastern Suburbs Brisbane vs Gold Coast United?

Eastern Suburbs Brisbane 5-1 Gold Coast United in the Australia - Queensland NPL on 15/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eastern Suburbs Brisbane vs Gold Coast United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eastern Suburbs Brisbane win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Eastern Suburbs Brisbane 56%, draw 15%, Gold Coast United 29%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eastern Suburbs Brisbane), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Eastern Suburbs Brisbane) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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