Aalborg 0-2 AC Horsens — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 15 Aug 2025

Aalborg
0-2 HT 0-1
AC Horsens
📅15/08/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Denmark 1st Division – 2025/2026

Aalborg vs AC Horsens Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
38%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.09
2-3 Goals
43%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
3.36
6+ Goals
10%
13.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.09 — our 28% vs market 25.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.04
1/2
5%
27.0
1/X
5%
12.9
X/1
9%
5.93
X/2
15%
5.38
X/X
10%
4.56
2/1
10%
29.0
2/2
18%
3.47
2/X
9%
12.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+2.1pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.5pp
38%
Away Win
38%
+0.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.8pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aalborg v AC Horsens — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aalborg EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY AC Horsens EU Bookmakers 42%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.01/2.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.08
+43% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
333 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 77%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.2
15.5 Crosses 20.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9

Aalborg vs AC Horsens Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aalborg
4W-2D-0L
AWAY AC Horsens
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
2.56 xG 0.70
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
358 Passes 271
77% Pass Accuracy 71%
34 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
06.10.2023 AC Horsens AC Horsens 1-4 HT 0-2 Aalborg Aalborg DAN1
29.07.2023 Aalborg Aalborg 1-0 HT 0-0 AC Horsens AC Horsens DAN1
07.05.2023 Aalborg Aalborg 4-0 HT 1-0 AC Horsens AC Horsens DAN
02.04.2023 AC Horsens AC Horsens 0-4 HT 0-2 Aalborg Aalborg DAN
10.10.2022 AC Horsens AC Horsens 0-0 HT 0-0 Aalborg Aalborg DAN
31.07.2022 Aalborg Aalborg 0-0 HT 0-0 AC Horsens AC Horsens DAN

Aalborg 0-2 AC Horsens — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aalborg
0-2
AWAY AC Horsens
0.40 xG 1.35
53% Ball Possession 47%
3 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 6
478 Passes 417
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
8 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Aalborg vs AC Horsens
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AC Horsens got the better of Aalborg 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 24% / 38% — and on the day AC Horsens made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Aalborg had 53% of the ball to AC Horsens's 47%, shots finished 3-16, expected goals 0.40 to 1.35.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aalborg had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Aalborg and 0.17 for AC Horsens.

What was the final score of Aalborg vs AC Horsens?

Aalborg 0-2 AC Horsens in the Denmark 1st Division on 15/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aalborg vs AC Horsens?

Before kick-off our model rated an AC Horsens win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Aalborg 37%, draw 24%, AC Horsens 38%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AC Horsens), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AC Horsens) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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