Hvidovre 2-0 Aarhus Fremad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 15 Aug 2025

📅15/08/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.38
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.97
Over 2.5
45%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.63
No
52%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.41
2-3 Goals
37%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.11
6+ Goals
9%
10.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.41 — our 33% vs market 22.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.57
1/2
7%
26.5
1/X
8%
12.75
X/1
12%
5.59
X/2
12%
5.77
X/X
9%
4.87
2/1
9%
26.0
2/2
17%
3.74
2/X
6%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
38%
+3.2pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.8pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
47%
+8.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
53%
-8.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
57%
-9.1pp
52%
BTTS No
43%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hvidovre EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Aarhus Fremad EU Bookmakers 39%
+7% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -52% / -52%
1.53/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.35/0.73
-11% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -32%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 399 · 81%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 41.0
20.3 Crosses 25.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hvidovre
2-0
AWAY Aarhus Fremad
1.89 xG 1.19
33% Ball Possession 67%
13 Total Shots 21
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
213 Passes 491
72% Pass Accuracy 84%
13 Box Touches 39
12 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Hvidovre vs Aarhus Fremad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hvidovre got the better of Aarhus Fremad 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hvidovre as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Hvidovre had 33% of the ball to Aarhus Fremad's 67%, shots finished 13-21, expected goals 1.89 to 1.19.

What was the final score of Hvidovre vs Aarhus Fremad?

Hvidovre 2-0 Aarhus Fremad in the Denmark 1st Division on 15/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hvidovre vs Aarhus Fremad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hvidovre win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Hvidovre 41%, draw 24%, Aarhus Fremad 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hvidovre), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hvidovre) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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