CD Aguilas 1-1 Lorca Deportiva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 15 Aug 2025

📅15/08/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
34%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.63
2-3 Goals
45%
1.69
4-5 Goals
18%
3.9
6+ Goals
8%
18.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-3.3pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.2pp
34%
Away Win
28%
+5.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.6pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Aguilas EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Lorca Deportiva EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
359 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Aguilas
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Lorca Deportiva
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
65% Ball Possession 35%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 6
15.08.2023 CD Aguilas CD Aguilas 1-1 Lorca Deportiva Lorca Deportiva HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Aguilas
1-1
AWAY Lorca Deportiva
56% Ball Possession 44%
6 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 0
POST-MATCH CD Aguilas vs Lorca Deportiva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Aguilas and Lorca Deportiva shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was CD Aguilas at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, CD Aguilas had 56% of the ball to Lorca Deportiva's 44%, shots finished 6-7.

What was the final score of CD Aguilas vs Lorca Deportiva?

CD Aguilas 1-1 Lorca Deportiva in the Friendlies on 15/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Aguilas vs Lorca Deportiva?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Aguilas win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split CD Aguilas 41%, draw 25%, Lorca Deportiva 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (CD Aguilas), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CD Aguilas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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