Santa Amalia 1-1 Merida AD — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 15 Aug 2025

Santa Amalia
1-1 HT 0-0
Merida AD
📅15/08/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-3 ✗
Friendlies – 2025/2026

Santa Amalia vs Merida AD Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.09
Draw
16%
3.94
Away
62%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.03
Over 2.5
58%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
4%
X/2
32%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
16%
+5.2pp
16%
Draw
22%
-6.3pp
62%
Away Win
61%
+1.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
45%
-3.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
55%
+3.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.8pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Santa Amalia v Merida AD — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Amalia EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Merida AD EU Bookmakers 66%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
314 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Santa Amalia 1-1 Merida AD — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Amalia
1-1
AWAY Merida AD
37% Ball Possession 63%
2 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Santa Amalia vs Merida AD
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Amalia and Merida AD couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Merida AD at 62% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Santa Amalia had 37% of the ball to Merida AD's 63%, shots finished 2-12.

What was the final score of Santa Amalia vs Merida AD?

Santa Amalia 1-1 Merida AD in the Friendlies on 15/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Amalia vs Merida AD?

Before kick-off our model rated an Merida AD win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Santa Amalia 22%, draw 16%, Merida AD 62%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Merida AD) ✗ Over 2.5
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