Ujpest 0-1 Kisvarda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 15 Aug 2025

Ujpest
0-1 HT 0-0
Kisvarda
📅15/08/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Hungary - NB I – 2025/2026

Ujpest vs Kisvarda Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.76
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.6
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
24%
3.0
6+ Goals
10%
9.93
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
52%
-3.8pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.5pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.2pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ujpest v Kisvarda — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ujpest EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Kisvarda EU Bookmakers 27%
-14% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -20%
1.31/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.70
-24% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +8%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
377 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 75%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
22.3 Crosses 21.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6

Ujpest vs Kisvarda Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ujpest
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Kisvarda
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.78 xG 1.81
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
373 Passes 287
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
13 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
13.04.2024 Kisvarda Kisvarda 4-1 HT 3-1 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
16.12.2023 Kisvarda Kisvarda 4-0 HT 1-0 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
01.09.2023 Ujpest Ujpest 3-2 HT 1-1 Kisvarda Kisvarda MAC
14.05.2023 Kisvarda Kisvarda 2-0 HT 0-0 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
17.02.2023 Kisvarda Kisvarda 2-1 HT 1-0 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
01.10.2022 Ujpest Ujpest 4-0 HT 3-0 Kisvarda Kisvarda MAC

Ujpest 0-1 Kisvarda — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ujpest
0-1
AWAY Kisvarda
1.15 xG 0.56
69% Ball Possession 31%
16 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
449 Passes 158
88% Pass Accuracy 69%
31 Box Touches 10
30 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ujpest vs Kisvarda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kisvarda squeezed past Ujpest 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Ujpest at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Ujpest had 69% of the ball to Kisvarda's 31%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 1.15 to 0.56 — on chances, Ujpest could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kisvarda led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ujpest and 2.33 for Kisvarda.

What was the final score of Ujpest vs Kisvarda?

Ujpest 0-1 Kisvarda in the Hungary - NB I on 15/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ujpest vs Kisvarda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ujpest win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Ujpest 49%, draw 27%, Kisvarda 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ujpest), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ujpest) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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