Jastrzebie Zdroj 2-3 Sandecja Nowy Sacz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 15 Aug 2025

Jastrzebie Zdroj
2-3 HT 2-2
Sandecja Nowy Sacz
📅15/08/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Poland - 2nd Division – 2025/2026

Jastrzebie Zdroj vs Sandecja Nowy Sacz Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.29
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
45%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.76
No
45%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.92
2-3 Goals
40%
1.71
4-5 Goals
21%
3.52
6+ Goals
7%
14.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.92 — our 32% vs market 26.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
19%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
27%
-3.0pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.2pp
45%
Away Win
46%
-0.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.0pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Jastrzebie Zdroj v Sandecja Nowy Sacz — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jastrzebie Zdroj EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Sandecja Nowy Sacz EU Bookmakers 49%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -55% / -55%
1.45/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
+17% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +30%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
260 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards –

Jastrzebie Zdroj vs Sandecja Nowy Sacz Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jastrzebie Zdroj
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Sandecja Nowy Sacz
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
53% Ball Possession 46%
6 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.03.2024 Sandecja Nowy Sacz Sandecja Nowy Sacz 1-3 HT 0-2 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj POL2
19.08.2023 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj 0-0 HT 0-0 Sandecja Nowy Sacz Sandecja Nowy Sacz POL2
05.04.2022 Sandecja Nowy Sacz Sandecja Nowy Sacz 2-0 HT 0-0 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj POL1
11.09.2021 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj 0-3 HT 0-1 Sandecja Nowy Sacz Sandecja Nowy Sacz POL1
29.05.2021 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj 1-1 HT 0-1 Sandecja Nowy Sacz Sandecja Nowy Sacz POL1
09.12.2020 Sandecja Nowy Sacz Sandecja Nowy Sacz 3-0 HT 2-0 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj POL1

Jastrzebie Zdroj 2-3 Sandecja Nowy Sacz — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jastrzebie Zdroj
2-3
AWAY Sandecja Nowy Sacz
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Jastrzebie Zdroj vs Sandecja Nowy Sacz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sandecja Nowy Sacz squeezed past Jastrzebie Zdroj 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sandecja Nowy Sacz as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Jastrzebie Zdroj had 46% of the ball to Sandecja Nowy Sacz's 54%, shots finished 11-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sandecja Nowy Sacz led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Jastrzebie Zdroj and 1.67 for Sandecja Nowy Sacz.

What was the final score of Jastrzebie Zdroj vs Sandecja Nowy Sacz?

Jastrzebie Zdroj 2-3 Sandecja Nowy Sacz in the Poland - 2nd Division on 15/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jastrzebie Zdroj vs Sandecja Nowy Sacz?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sandecja Nowy Sacz win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Jastrzebie Zdroj 24%, draw 31%, Sandecja Nowy Sacz 45%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sandecja Nowy Sacz), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sandecja Nowy Sacz) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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