CD Feirense 4-1 Portimonense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 15 Aug 2025

📅15/08/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.65
2-3 Goals
39%
1.69
4-5 Goals
21%
3.88
6+ Goals
8%
18.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.65 — our 32% vs market 29.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
45%
+0.3pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.2pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.8pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Feirense EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Portimonense EU Bookmakers 30%
+10% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +7%
1.27/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.49
+2% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
286 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.0 Crosses 14.4
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Feirense
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Portimonense
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.14 xG 1.45
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
283 Passes 273
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.03.2025 Portimonense Portimonense 1-2 HT 1-1 CD Feirense CD Feirense POR2
26.10.2024 CD Feirense CD Feirense 1-1 HT 0-1 Portimonense Portimonense POR2
27.04.2019 Portimonense Portimonense 1-0 HT 1-0 CD Feirense CD Feirense POR
22.12.2018 CD Feirense CD Feirense 0-1 HT 0-0 Portimonense Portimonense POR
16.02.2018 CD Feirense CD Feirense 1-3 HT 1-1 Portimonense Portimonense POR
18.09.2017 Portimonense Portimonense 2-1 HT 2-1 CD Feirense CD Feirense POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Feirense
4-1
AWAY Portimonense
1.84 xG 0.24
49% Ball Possession 51%
17 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
135 Passes 178
67% Pass Accuracy 72%
27 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH CD Feirense vs Portimonense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Feirense ran out comfortable winners over Portimonense 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had CD Feirense as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CD Feirense had 49% of the ball to Portimonense's 51%, shots finished 17-3, expected goals 1.84 to 0.24.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Portimonense led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for CD Feirense and 1.50 for Portimonense.

What was the final score of CD Feirense vs Portimonense?

CD Feirense 4-1 Portimonense in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 15/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Feirense vs Portimonense?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Feirense win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split CD Feirense 45%, draw 27%, Portimonense 27%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Feirense) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CD Feirense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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