Notts County 1-1 Leicester City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 15 Aug 2026

Notts County
1-1 HT 0-0
Leicester City
📅15/08/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - 1st Division – 2026/2027

Notts County vs Leicester City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.29
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
48%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
1.78
Over
47%
1.92
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 ✗
28%
2.92
2-3
41%
1.73
4-5
21%
3.63
6+
10%
15.5
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.92 — our 28% vs market 27.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.49
1/2
9%
26.0
1/X
5%
14.15
X/1
8%
7.23
X/2
22%
4.71
X/X
16%
4.52
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
17%
2.84
2/X
6%
13.3
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Notts County v Leicester City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Notts County The Market 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Leicester City The Market 49%
Bad Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Great
Bad Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Great
0.91 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.93
1.76 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 0.81
Weak Attackvs comparable teams Strong
Weak Defensevs comparable teams Great
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
269 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Notts County vs Leicester City Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Notts County
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Leicester City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
The Meetings
21.07.2018 Notts County Notts County 1-4 HT 1-2 Leicester City Leicester City HAZ

Notts County 1-1 Leicester City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Notts County
1-1
AWAY Leicester City
2.27 xG 0.78
16 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
197 Passes 562
39 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Notts County vs Leicester City
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Notts County and Leicester City traded blows to a 1-1 standstill. Half-time: 0-0.

A gentle 48% lean on Leicester City didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 47% and both teams to score at 50%.

On the day, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 2.27 to 0.78.

Notts County vs Leicester City Result & Final Score

Notts County 1-1 Leicester City in the England - 1st Division on 15/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Notts County vs Leicester City Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Leicester City win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Notts County 25%, draw 27%, Leicester City 48%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Leicester City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leicester City) ✓ Under 2.5
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