Burton Albion 1-1 Stevenage — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 15 Aug 2026

📅15/08/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
33%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
62%
1.6
Over
38%
2.11
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2.39
2-3
40%
1.72
4-5
16%
4.52
6+
9%
25.0
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.39 — our 35% vs market 34.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
4.3
1/2
6%
33.0
1/X
7%
13.95
X/1
7%
5.73
X/2
11%
5.29
X/X
14%
3.9
2/1
10%
34.5
2/2
15%
3.81
2/X
8%
13.85
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Burton Albion The Market 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Stevenage The Market 40%
Weak Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Bad Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
1.12 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 0.93
1.13 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.06
Average Attackvs comparable teams Weak
Weak Defensevs comparable teams Strong
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
258 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 68%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
20.8 Crosses 17.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Burton Albion
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Stevenage
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.70 xG 1.40
42% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
194 Passes 305
59% Pass Accuracy 72%
16 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.03.2026 Burton Albion Burton Albion 0-1 HT 0-1 Stevenage Stevenage İN1
20.12.2025 Stevenage Stevenage 2-2 HT 0-1 Burton Albion Burton Albion İN1
18.02.2025 Stevenage Stevenage 0-1 HT 0-1 Burton Albion Burton Albion İN1
10.12.2024 Burton Albion Burton Albion 0-4 HT 0-1 Stevenage Stevenage İNTK
24.08.2024 Burton Albion Burton Albion 0-0 HT 0-0 Stevenage Stevenage İN1
13.04.2024 Stevenage Stevenage 1-2 HT 0-1 Burton Albion Burton Albion İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Burton Albion
1-1
AWAY Stevenage
0.94 xG 0.51
10 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 0
301 Passes 278
15 Box Touches 16
8 Crosses 8
REVIEW Burton Albion vs Stevenage
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Burton Albion and Stevenage couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals card split: under 2.5 goals (62%) came in, no to both teams scoring (55%) didn't.

Under the surface, shots finished 10-5, expected goals 0.94 to 0.51.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Burton Albion and 1.33 for Stevenage.

Burton Albion vs Stevenage Result & Final Score

Burton Albion 1-1 Stevenage in the England - 1st Division on 15/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Burton Albion vs Stevenage Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Burton Albion win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Burton Albion 39%, draw 28%, Stevenage 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Burton Albion), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Burton Albion) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İN1 More England - 1st Division
15 Aug 2026
14:30 Oxford United vs Milton Keynes Dons Analysis →
14:30 Notts County vs Leicester City Analysis →
14:30 Reading vs Luton Town Analysis →
17:00 Barnsley vs Bromley Analysis →
17:00 Blackpool vs Wycombe Wanderers Analysis →
17:00 Cambridge United vs Wigan Athletic Analysis →