FC Andorra 5-1 Ceuta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 15 Aug 2026

📅15/08/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
56%
1.57
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
1.95
Over
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.82
No
47%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.37
2-3
41%
1.78
4-5
21%
3.36
6+
13%
12.55
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.37 — our 25% vs market 23.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
2.12
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.65
X/1
15%
4.16
X/2
9%
9.99
X/X
11%
5.27
2/1
8%
22.9
2/2
8%
8.08
2/X
4%
16.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
FC Andorra win — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
59%
-2.9pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.8pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+3.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.4pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Andorra EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Ceuta EU Bookmakers 21%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -3%
1.43/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.98
-29% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -20%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
382 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 77%
28.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
25.9 Crosses 16.4
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Andorra
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Ceuta
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.57 xG 2.01
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
388 Passes 250
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 16
25 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.05.2026 FC Andorra FC Andorra 0-2 HT 0-1 Ceuta Ceuta İS2
04.01.2026 Ceuta Ceuta 2-1 HT 1-0 FC Andorra FC Andorra İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Andorra
5-1
AWAY Ceuta
3.55 xG 1.28
25 Total Shots 5
11 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 2
449 Passes 186
34 Box Touches 16
13 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Andorra vs Ceuta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Andorra cruised past Ceuta 5-1. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had FC Andorra as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, shots finished 25-5, expected goals 3.55 to 1.28.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ceuta led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for FC Andorra and 2.00 for Ceuta.

What was the final score of FC Andorra vs Ceuta?

FC Andorra 5-1 Ceuta in the Spain - 2nd Division on 15/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Andorra vs Ceuta?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Andorra win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split FC Andorra 56%, draw 22%, Ceuta 22%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Andorra), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Andorra) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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