San Lorenzo vs Union Santa Fe Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Argentina - Premier League, 15 Aug 2026

San Lorenzo
vs
Union Santa Fe
📅15/08/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
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Argentina - Premier League – 2026

San Lorenzo vs Union Santa Fe Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
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San Lorenzo v Union Santa Fe — Team-Based Signals

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iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
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Team-Based Signals — members only
The why behind every prediction: how each side performs against the bookmaker, expected goals, attack & defence versus the league, and the on-pitch signals below.
  • Team Performance vs Market
  • Expected Goals — scored / conceded
  • Attack / Defense vs League Average
  • Possession · Total Shots · Shots on Target
  • Corners · Passes · Box Touches · Crosses · Cards
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San Lorenzo vs Union Santa Fe Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Lorenzo
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Union Santa Fe
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.73 xG 1.29
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
224 Passes 316
71% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 20
10 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
14.02.2026 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 0-0 HT 0-0 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
15.06.2024 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 2-1 HT 0-1 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
06.02.2024 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 0-0 HT 0-0 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
05.09.2023 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 1-1 HT 0-1 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
25.02.2023 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 1-0 HT 0-0 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
20.07.2022 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 2-2 HT 2-0 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
COMMENT San Lorenzo vs Union Santa Fe
iddaakolik Match Comment — summary & quick answers

Both teams have scored in just 1 of San Lorenzo's last 5 home league games.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours are even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for San Lorenzo and 0.83 for Union Santa Fe.

When do San Lorenzo and Union Santa Fe play?

San Lorenzo play Union Santa Fe in the Argentina - Premier League on 15/08/2026, kick-off 20:30 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Who is predicted to win San Lorenzo vs Union Santa Fe?

Our model's prediction for San Lorenzo vs Union Santa Fe is a San Lorenzo win at about 39% probability, priced 2.33 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is San Lorenzo 39%, draw 31%, Union Santa Fe 30%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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