Freiburg 2-0 Crystal Palace — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 15 Aug 2026

Freiburg
2-0 HT 0-0 AET 3-0
Crystal Palace
📅15/08/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.33
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
31%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
Over
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
61%
No
39%
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
37%
4-5
27%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
39%
+5.3pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.2pp
31%
Away Win
36%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Freiburg EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Crystal Palace EU Bookmakers 40%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
2.20/0.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/0.97
+44% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +43%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
330 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 5.0
Crosses 3.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
POST-MATCH Freiburg vs Crystal Palace
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Freiburg got the better of Crystal Palace 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Freiburg as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Freiburg vs Crystal Palace?

Freiburg 2-0 Crystal Palace in the Friendlies on 15/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Freiburg vs Crystal Palace?

Before kick-off our model rated a Freiburg win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Freiburg 45%, draw 24%, Crystal Palace 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Freiburg) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Freiburg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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