Alverca vs Estrela Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Portugal - Premier League, 15 Aug 2026

Alverca
vs
Estrela
📅15/08/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
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Portugal - Premier League – 2026/2027

Alverca vs Estrela Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
26%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
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Alverca v Estrela — Team-Based Signals

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iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
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Team-Based Signals — members only
The why behind every prediction: how each side performs against the bookmaker, expected goals, attack & defence versus the league, and the on-pitch signals below.
  • Team Performance vs Market
  • Expected Goals — scored / conceded
  • Attack / Defense vs League Average
  • Possession · Total Shots · Shots on Target
  • Corners · Passes · Box Touches · Crosses · Cards
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Alverca vs Estrela Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alverca
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Estrela
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.10 xG 1.77
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
248 Passes 244
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
31.01.2026 Alverca Alverca 1-1 HT 0-0 Estrela Estrela POR
25.08.2025 Estrela Estrela 2-2 HT 1-2 Alverca Alverca POR
COMMENT Alverca vs Estrela
iddaakolik Match Comment — summary & quick answers

Both teams have scored in 4 of Alverca's last 5 home league games, while Estrela have lost 4 of their last 5 away league games.

Across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours are even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Alverca and 1.50 for Estrela.

When do Alverca and Estrela play?

Alverca play Estrela in the Portugal - Premier League on 15/08/2026, kick-off 17:30 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Who is predicted to win Alverca vs Estrela?

Our model's prediction for Alverca vs Estrela is a Alverca win at about 47% probability, priced 2.12 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Alverca 47%, draw 27%, Estrela 26%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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