Qingdao Jonoon 1-1 Wuhan Three Towns — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.8
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
39%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.0
Over 2.5
56%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.61
No
42%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.76
2-3 Goals
42%
1.82
4-5 Goals
26%
3.24
6+ Goals
10%
11.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.28
1/2
6%
25.5
1/X
8%
12.8
X/1
13%
6.39
X/2
15%
5.13
X/X
12%
4.84
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
30.5
2/2
18%
3.14
2/X
5%
12.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 30.5 — our 8% vs market 1.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+4.4pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.0pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-2.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
46%
-2.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
54%
+2.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.2pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Qingdao Jonoon EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Wuhan Three Towns EU Bookmakers 45%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.61/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.34/1.16
+38% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +59%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
286 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 81%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
19.1 Crosses 29.4
3.7 Yellow Cards 0.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Qingdao Jonoon
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Wuhan Three Towns
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.71 xG 1.95
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 5
325 Passes 466
82% Pass Accuracy 88%
17 Box Touches 30
14 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 3
16.06.2024 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 0-1 HT 0-1 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİNSL
05.05.2024 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 1-0 HT 1-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİN
30.07.2023 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 1-0 HT 0-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
29.04.2023 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 0-3 HT 0-2 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Qingdao Jonoon
1-1
AWAY Wuhan Three Towns
1.57 xG 2.18
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
219 Passes 369
70% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Qingdao Jonoon vs Wuhan Three Towns
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Qingdao Jonoon and Wuhan Three Towns shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (37% / 25% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Qingdao Jonoon had 41% of the ball to Wuhan Three Towns's 59%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 1.57 to 2.18.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Wuhan Three Towns led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Qingdao Jonoon and 1.50 for Wuhan Three Towns.

What was the final score of Qingdao Jonoon vs Wuhan Three Towns?

Qingdao Jonoon 1-1 Wuhan Three Towns in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Qingdao Jonoon vs Wuhan Three Towns?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wuhan Three Towns win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Qingdao Jonoon 37%, draw 25%, Wuhan Three Towns 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Wuhan Three Towns), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wuhan Three Towns) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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