Tottenham 0-1 Arsenal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 15 Sep 2024

Tottenham
0 - 1 HT 0 - 0
Arsenal
📅15/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
England - Premier League – 2024/2025

Tottenham vs Arsenal Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
38%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under
40%
2.21
Over
60%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
61%
1.5
No
39%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1
19%
4.6
2-3
45%
1.9
4-5
28%
2.88
6+
8%
8.21
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.75
1/2 ✗
3%
25.5
1/X
6%
11.75
X/1
12%
6.23
X/2
13%
5.8
X/X
15%
5.07
2/1
3%
26.5
2/2
22%
3.38
2/X
6%
11.7
Value flag · 1/2 at 25.5 — our 3% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Tottenham v Arsenal — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Tottenham The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Arsenal The Market 40%
Strong Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
1.69 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.43
1.59 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.29
Strong Attack Strength Weak
Average Defense Strength Strong
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
325 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 420 · 82%
29 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26
17 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2

Tottenham vs Arsenal Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tottenham
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Arsenal
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.70 xG 1.57
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
404 Passes 367
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 27
15 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
28.04.2024 Tottenham Tottenham 2-3 HT 0-3 Arsenal Arsenal İNP
24.09.2023 Arsenal Arsenal 2-2 HT 1-1 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
15.01.2023 Tottenham Tottenham 0-2 HT 0-2 Arsenal Arsenal İNP
01.10.2022 Arsenal Arsenal 3-1 HT 1-1 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
12.05.2022 Tottenham Tottenham 3-0 HT 2-0 Arsenal Arsenal İNP
26.09.2021 Arsenal Arsenal 3-1 HT 3-0 Tottenham Tottenham İNP

Tottenham 0-1 Arsenal — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tottenham
0 - 1
AWAY Arsenal
0.71 xG 0.74
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
437 Passes 213
89% Pass Accuracy 76%
29 Box Touches 24
31 Crosses 13
5 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Tottenham vs Arsenal
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Arsenal nicked a narrow win over Tottenham 1-0 away from home. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 38%) promised a tight game; Arsenal found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

Under the surface, possession split 64% to 36% in Tottenham's favour, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 0.71 to 0.74.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arsenal led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Tottenham against 2.17 for Arsenal.

Tottenham vs Arsenal Result & Final Score

Tottenham 0 - 1 Arsenal in the England - Premier League on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Tottenham vs Arsenal Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Arsenal win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Tottenham 35%, draw 27%, Arsenal 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arsenal) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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İNP More England - Premier League
15 Sep 2024
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