Norrby IF 3-3 Onsala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.42
Draw
21%
4.49
Away
17%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.29
Over 2.5
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
24%
X/2
4%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
66%
-4.2pp
21%
Draw
19%
+1.7pp
17%
Away Win
15%
+2.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+3.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-3.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.7pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Norrby IF EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Onsala EU Bookmakers 18%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
2.90/0.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/2.28
+36% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / -11%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
440 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Norrby IF
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Onsala
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
20 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
19.05.2024 Onsala Onsala 2-1 HT 1-0 Norrby IF Norrby IF İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Norrby IF
3-3
AWAY Onsala
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Norrby IF vs Onsala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Norrby IF and Onsala couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Norrby IF at 62% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Norrby IF had 55% of the ball to Onsala's 45%, shots finished 18-11.

What was the final score of Norrby IF vs Onsala?

Norrby IF 3-3 Onsala in the Sweden - 1st Division on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Norrby IF vs Onsala?

Before kick-off our model rated a Norrby IF win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Norrby IF 62%, draw 21%, Onsala 17%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Norrby IF), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Norrby IF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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