AFC Eskilstuna 0-3 Umea FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.94
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
42%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.51
Over 2.5
53%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.43
No
52%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
30%
+7.2pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.1pp
42%
Away Win
46%
-4.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
36%
+10.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
64%
-10.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
66%
-17.4pp
52%
BTTS No
34%
+17.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Eskilstuna EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Umea FC EU Bookmakers 50%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +1%
0.00/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.50
-100% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -16%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
271 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Eskilstuna
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Umea FC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
40% Ball Possession 60%
14 Total Shots 21
5 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
23.06.2024 Umea FC Umea FC 3-1 HT 0-1 AFC Eskilstuna AFC Eskilstuna İSÇ3
02.07.2006 AFC Eskilstuna AFC Eskilstuna 3-0 HT 1-0 Umea FC Umea FC İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Eskilstuna
0-3
AWAY Umea FC
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH AFC Eskilstuna vs Umea FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Umea FC cruised past AFC Eskilstuna 3-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 21% / 42% — and on the day Umea FC made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, AFC Eskilstuna had 39% of the ball to Umea FC's 61%, shots finished 10-14.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for AFC Eskilstuna and 1.50 for Umea FC.

What was the final score of AFC Eskilstuna vs Umea FC?

AFC Eskilstuna 0-3 Umea FC in the Sweden - 1st Division on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Eskilstuna vs Umea FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Umea FC win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split AFC Eskilstuna 37%, draw 21%, Umea FC 42%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Umea FC), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Umea FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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