Umea FC 3-1 AFC Eskilstuna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 23 Jun 2024

📅23/06/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.51
Over 2.5
54%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
57%
-6.9pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.4pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+4.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
36%
+10.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
64%
-10.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.1pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Umea FC EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Eskilstuna EU Bookmakers 24%
+3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
2.04/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.65
+4% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
391 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Umea FC
0W-0D-1L
AWAY AFC Eskilstuna
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
02.07.2006 AFC Eskilstuna AFC Eskilstuna 3-0 HT 1-0 Umea FC Umea FC İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Umea FC
3-1
AWAY AFC Eskilstuna
60% Ball Possession 40%
21 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Umea FC vs AFC Eskilstuna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Umea FC got the better of AFC Eskilstuna 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Umea FC as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Umea FC had 60% of the ball to AFC Eskilstuna's 40%, shots finished 21-14.

What was the final score of Umea FC vs AFC Eskilstuna?

Umea FC 3-1 AFC Eskilstuna in the Sweden - 1st Division on 23/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Umea FC vs AFC Eskilstuna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Umea FC win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Umea FC 50%, draw 25%, AFC Eskilstuna 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Umea FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Umea FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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