FBK Karlstad 2-3 Pitea IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 23 Jun 2024

📅23/06/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.0
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
38%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.5
No
46%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.7pp
21%
Draw
25%
-4.1pp
38%
Away Win
29%
+8.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
62%
-8.0pp
46%
BTTS No
38%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FBK Karlstad EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Pitea IF EU Bookmakers 32%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +27%
1.33/2.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.12
-18% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +39%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
345 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FBK Karlstad
2-3
AWAY Pitea IF
59% Ball Possession 41%
22 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FBK Karlstad vs Pitea IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pitea IF nicked a narrow win over FBK Karlstad 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 21% / 38% — and on the day Pitea IF made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, FBK Karlstad had 59% of the ball to Pitea IF's 41%, shots finished 22-11.

What was the final score of FBK Karlstad vs Pitea IF?

FBK Karlstad 2-3 Pitea IF in the Sweden - 1st Division on 23/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FBK Karlstad vs Pitea IF?

Before kick-off our model rated a FBK Karlstad win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split FBK Karlstad 41%, draw 21%, Pitea IF 38%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FBK Karlstad) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FBK Karlstad) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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