Hogaborgs BK 3-2 IFK Trelleborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.57
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
46%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.51
Over 2.5
54%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.43
No
43%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
26%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
35%
-5.2pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.2pp
46%
Away Win
41%
+5.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
36%
+9.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
64%
-9.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
66%
-8.6pp
43%
BTTS No
34%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hogaborgs BK EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY IFK Trelleborg EU Bookmakers 45%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
2.32/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/2.34
+37% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -32%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
312 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hogaborgs BK
0W-0D-1L
AWAY IFK Trelleborg
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
20.05.2024 IFK Trelleborg IFK Trelleborg 3-1 HT 0-0 Hogaborgs BK Hogaborgs BK İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Hogaborgs BK vs IFK Trelleborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hogaborgs BK nicked a narrow win over IFK Trelleborg 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was IFK Trelleborg at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

What was the final score of Hogaborgs BK vs IFK Trelleborg?

Hogaborgs BK 3-2 IFK Trelleborg in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hogaborgs BK vs IFK Trelleborg?

Before kick-off our model rated an IFK Trelleborg win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Hogaborgs BK 30%, draw 24%, IFK Trelleborg 46%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (IFK Trelleborg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (IFK Trelleborg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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