Österlen 2-1 IFK Berga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.8
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.61
Over 2.5
56%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.43
No
47%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
52%
+0.6pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.2pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+1.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
35%
+9.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
65%
-9.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
66%
-12.7pp
47%
BTTS No
34%
+12.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Österlen EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY IFK Berga EU Bookmakers 29%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.89/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.94
-3% / +129% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
313 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Österlen
1W-1D-2L
AWAY IFK Berga
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
18.05.2024 IFK Berga IFK Berga 4-1 HT 2-0 Österlen Österlen İSÇ4
22.10.2023 IFK Berga IFK Berga 2-1 HT 0-0 Österlen Österlen İSÇ4
10.06.2023 Österlen Österlen 2-1 HT 0-1 IFK Berga IFK Berga İSÇ4
03.09.2022 Österlen Österlen 0-0 HT 0-0 IFK Berga IFK Berga İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Österlen vs IFK Berga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Österlen edged past IFK Berga 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Österlen as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, IFK Berga led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Österlen and 1.75 for IFK Berga.

What was the final score of Österlen vs IFK Berga?

Österlen 2-1 IFK Berga in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Österlen vs IFK Berga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Österlen win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Österlen 52%, draw 21%, IFK Berga 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Österlen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Österlen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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