IFK Berga 4-1 Österlen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.8
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.51
Over 2.5
54%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
26%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+2.6pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.5pp
42%
Away Win
44%
-2.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
36%
+9.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
64%
-9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IFK Berga EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Österlen EU Bookmakers 48%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.58/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.37
+4% / +72% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +6%
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
307 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 405 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IFK Berga
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Österlen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
22.10.2023 IFK Berga IFK Berga 2-1 HT 0-0 Österlen Österlen İSÇ4
10.06.2023 Österlen Österlen 2-1 HT 0-1 IFK Berga IFK Berga İSÇ4
03.09.2022 Österlen Österlen 0-0 HT 0-0 IFK Berga IFK Berga İSÇ4
POST-MATCH IFK Berga vs Österlen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IFK Berga swept aside Österlen 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Österlen at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for IFK Berga and 1.00 for Österlen.

What was the final score of IFK Berga vs Österlen?

IFK Berga 4-1 Österlen in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IFK Berga vs Österlen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Österlen win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split IFK Berga 35%, draw 24%, Österlen 42%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Österlen), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Österlen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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