18/05/2024
·
14:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
2-2
Lucksta vs IFK Lulea Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
11%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
33%
21%
Draw
22%
37%
Away Win
45%
39%
Under 2.5
38%
61%
Over 2.5
62%
60%
BTTS Yes
64%
40%
BTTS No
36%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lucksta v IFK Lulea — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Lucksta
EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY
IFK Lulea
EU Bookmakers 49%
+45% /
+45%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+4% /
+4%
3.00/1.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.37/0.67
+78%
/
+61%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-22%
/
+120%
48%
Ball Possession
52%
10
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
5
5
Corners
6
260 · 74%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
407 · 81%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Lucksta vs IFK Lulea
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Lucksta ran out comfortable winners over IFK Lulea 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 21% / 37% — and on the day Lucksta made the difference. On goals, over 2.5 goals (61%) landed while both teams to score (60%) missed.
What was the final score of Lucksta vs IFK Lulea?
Lucksta 4-0 IFK Lulea in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lucksta vs IFK Lulea?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lucksta win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Lucksta 41%, draw 21%, IFK Lulea 37%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lucksta), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Lucksta)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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İSÇ4
More Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland
18 May 2024