Frösö 3-2 Algarna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.72
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
32%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.38
Over 2.5
56%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.53
No
47%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
54%
-8.1pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.1pp
33%
Away Win
23%
+9.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
61%
-8.1pp
47%
BTTS No
39%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Frösö EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Algarna EU Bookmakers 27%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
1.05/0.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.50
-50% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / +31%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
355 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Frösö
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Algarna
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1 Corners 6
16.09.2023 Frösö Frösö 1-0 HT 0-0 Algarna Algarna İSÇ4
20.05.2023 Algarna Algarna 5-0 HT 4-0 Frösö Frösö İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Frösö vs Algarna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Frösö edged past Algarna 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Frösö as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Frösö and 2.50 for Algarna.

What was the final score of Frösö vs Algarna?

Frösö 3-2 Algarna in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Frösö vs Algarna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Frösö win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Frösö 46%, draw 22%, Algarna 33%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Frösö), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Frösö) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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