Copiapo 2-3 Union Espanola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.8
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.29
Over 2.5
54%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.49
No
46%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+5.0pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.2pp
39%
Away Win
43%
-3.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
40%
+6.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
60%
-6.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
63%
-8.9pp
46%
BTTS No
37%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Copiapo EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Espanola EU Bookmakers 48%
+1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -10%
1.45/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.31
+19% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
321 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 77%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
19.0 Crosses 18.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Copiapo
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Union Espanola
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.67
1.53 xG 1.96
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
215 Passes 356
70% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 29
12 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
22.04.2024 Union Espanola Union Espanola 5-3 HT 3-1 Copiapo Copiapo ŞİL
26.08.2023 Copiapo Copiapo 4-3 HT 3-0 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
05.03.2023 Union Espanola Union Espanola 3-0 HT 2-0 Copiapo Copiapo ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Copiapo
2-3
AWAY Union Espanola
2.01 xG 1.99
37% Ball Possession 63%
21 Total Shots 21
7 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 5
261 Passes 512
82% Pass Accuracy 89%
28 Box Touches 34
26 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Copiapo vs Union Espanola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Espanola edged past Copiapo 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 23% / 39%) promised a tight game; Union Espanola found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Copiapo had 37% of the ball to Union Espanola's 63%, shots finished 21-21, expected goals 2.01 to 1.99.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Union Espanola led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Copiapo and 3.67 for Union Espanola.

What was the final score of Copiapo vs Union Espanola?

Copiapo 2-3 Union Espanola in the Chile - Premier League on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Copiapo vs Union Espanola?

Before kick-off our model rated an Union Espanola win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Copiapo 37%, draw 23%, Union Espanola 39%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Espanola), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Union Espanola) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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