Union Espanola 5-3 Copiapo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 22 Apr 2024

📅22/04/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
54%
-4.7pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.3pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+3.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.9pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Espanola EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Copiapo EU Bookmakers 25%
-8% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.39/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.38
-11% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / -10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
336 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 72%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.4
23.9 Crosses 14.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Espanola
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Copiapo
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.89 xG 1.96
60% Ball Possession 40%
21 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
374 Passes 216
84% Pass Accuracy 72%
32 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
26.08.2023 Copiapo Copiapo 4-3 HT 3-0 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
05.03.2023 Union Espanola Union Espanola 3-0 HT 2-0 Copiapo Copiapo ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Espanola
5-3
AWAY Copiapo
2.10 xG 0.69
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
320 Passes 213
77% Pass Accuracy 68%
24 Box Touches 22
11 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Union Espanola vs Copiapo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Espanola beat Copiapo 5-3. Half-time: 3-1. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Union Espanola as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 5-3 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Union Espanola had 57% of the ball to Copiapo's 43%, shots finished 16-15, expected goals 2.10 to 0.69.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Union Espanola and 2.00 for Copiapo.

What was the final score of Union Espanola vs Copiapo?

Union Espanola 5-3 Copiapo in the Chile - Premier League on 22/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Espanola vs Copiapo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Espanola win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Union Espanola 49%, draw 26%, Copiapo 25%. The final score 5-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Espanola), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Union Espanola) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ŞİL More Chile - Premier League
22 Apr 2024
03:00 Cobreloa vs Audax Italiano Analysis →