Cobreloa 0-3 Audax Italiano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 22 Apr 2024

📅22/04/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.74
Over 2.5
50%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+1.7pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-1.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
54%
-3.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
46%
+3.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.6pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cobreloa EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Audax Italiano EU Bookmakers 36%
-2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +2%
1.40/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.22
-1% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
269 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 73%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
21.0 Crosses 14.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cobreloa
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Audax Italiano
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
316 Passes 251
73% Pass Accuracy 69%
23.02.2015 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano 1-0 HT 0-0 Cobreloa Cobreloa ŞİL
14.09.2014 Cobreloa Cobreloa 0-1 HT 0-1 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİL
02.02.2014 Cobreloa Cobreloa 2-0 HT 1-0 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİL
25.08.2013 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano 1-1 HT 1-0 Cobreloa Cobreloa ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cobreloa
0-3
AWAY Audax Italiano
0.62 xG 1.96
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 1
335 Passes 341
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cobreloa vs Audax Italiano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Audax Italiano swept aside Cobreloa 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Cobreloa at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Cobreloa had 50% of the ball to Audax Italiano's 50%, shots finished 16-19, expected goals 0.62 to 1.96.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Audax Italiano led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Cobreloa and 0.75 for Audax Italiano.

What was the final score of Cobreloa vs Audax Italiano?

Cobreloa 0-3 Audax Italiano in the Chile - Premier League on 22/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cobreloa vs Audax Italiano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cobreloa win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Cobreloa 42%, draw 27%, Audax Italiano 31%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cobreloa) ✗ BTTS Yes
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