Augsburg vs St. Pauli Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Augsburg v St. Pauli — Team-Based Signals
Augsburg vs St. Pauli Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 0-0
Augsburg
AL2
3-2
HT 0-1
St. Pauli
AL2
1-1
HT 0-0
Augsburg
AL2
3-2
HT 0-0
St. Pauli
AL2
1-0
HT 0-0
St. Pauli
AL2
2-0
HT 1-0
Augsburg
AL2
Augsburg 3-1 St. Pauli — Actual Match Statistics
Augsburg saw off St. Pauli 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Augsburg as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Augsburg had 43% of the ball to St. Pauli's 57%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 2.74 to 0.51.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Augsburg had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Augsburg and 1.67 for St. Pauli.
What was the final score of Augsburg vs St. Pauli?
Augsburg 3-1 St. Pauli in the Germany - Bundesliga on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Augsburg vs St. Pauli?
Before kick-off our model rated a Augsburg win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Augsburg 46%, draw 25%, St. Pauli 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Augsburg), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.