Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mainz 05 v Werder Bremen — Team-Based Signals
Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-0
HT 1-0
Mainz 05
AL1
2-2
HT 0-0
Werder Bremen
AL1
0-2
HT 0-1
Mainz 05
AL1
0-1
HT 0-1
Mainz 05
AL1
0-1
HT 0-0
Werder Bremen
AL1
Mainz 05 1-2 Werder Bremen — Actual Match Statistics
Werder Bremen nicked a narrow win over Mainz 05 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Werder Bremen made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Mainz 05 had 58% of the ball to Werder Bremen's 42%, shots finished 16-14, expected goals 1.13 to 2.07.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Werder Bremen led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Mainz 05 and 1.33 for Werder Bremen.
What was the final score of Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen?
Mainz 05 1-2 Werder Bremen in the Germany - Bundesliga on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen?
Before kick-off our model rated a Mainz 05 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Mainz 05 39%, draw 28%, Werder Bremen 34%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mainz 05), Under 2.5 went the other way.