Hamburg 5-0 Jahn Regensburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 15 Sep 2024

Hamburg
5-0 HT 2-0
Jahn Regensburg
📅15/09/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Hamburg vs Jahn Regensburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.45
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
24%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.29
Over 2.5
51%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.68
2-3 Goals
40%
1.91
4-5 Goals
23%
2.85
6+ Goals
11%
7.96
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.68 — our 26% vs market 16.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.72
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
10%
18.0
X/1
14%
3.67
X/2
9%
13.7
X/X
9%
6.89
2/1
9%
20.8
2/2
10%
10.2
2/X
6%
18.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
64%
-12.7pp
25%
Draw
20%
+4.9pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+7.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
40%
+8.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
60%
-8.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.6pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hamburg v Jahn Regensburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hamburg EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Jahn Regensburg EU Bookmakers 19%
-6% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -12%
2.12/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.67
+7% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -11%
63% Ball Possession 37%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
464 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 213 · 69%
32.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
22.5 Crosses 15.7
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.7

Hamburg vs Jahn Regensburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hamburg
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Jahn Regensburg
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.89 xG 1.21
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
381 Passes 219
82% Pass Accuracy 70%
39 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
14.05.2023 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 1-5 HT 0-4 Hamburg Hamburg AL2
06.11.2022 Hamburg Hamburg 3-1 HT 1-1 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL2
23.04.2022 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 2-4 HT 0-1 Hamburg Hamburg AL2
20.11.2021 Hamburg Hamburg 4-1 HT 2-1 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL2
25.04.2021 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 1-1 HT 1-0 Hamburg Hamburg AL2
03.01.2021 Hamburg Hamburg 3-1 HT 2-1 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL2

Hamburg 5-0 Jahn Regensburg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hamburg
5-0
AWAY Jahn Regensburg
1.90 xG 0.36
64% Ball Possession 36%
17 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 4
531 Passes 243
89% Pass Accuracy 75%
36 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Hamburg vs Jahn Regensburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamburg swept aside Jahn Regensburg 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hamburg as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Hamburg had 64% of the ball to Jahn Regensburg's 36%, shots finished 17-6, expected goals 1.90 to 0.36.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hamburg had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Hamburg and 1.17 for Jahn Regensburg.

What was the final score of Hamburg vs Jahn Regensburg?

Hamburg 5-0 Jahn Regensburg in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hamburg vs Jahn Regensburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hamburg win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Hamburg 52%, draw 25%, Jahn Regensburg 24%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hamburg), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hamburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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