Hertha Berlin 0-2 Fortuna Düsseldorf — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.27
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.29
Over 2.5
61%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.49
No
39%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
4.79
2-3 Goals
39%
1.93
4-5 Goals
29%
2.81
6+ Goals
14%
7.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.27
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
26.0
1/X
7%
12.35
X/1
13%
5.6
X/2
8%
6.16
X/X
8%
5.44
2/1
6%
24.0
2/2
19%
3.72
2/X
10%
12.45
Value flag · 1/2 at 26.0 — our 7% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
40%
+1.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
34%
Away Win
34%
-0.6pp
39%
Under 2.5
40%
-0.5pp
61%
Over 2.5
60%
+0.6pp
61%
BTTS Yes
63%
-2.4pp
39%
BTTS No
37%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hertha Berlin EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf EU Bookmakers 38%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +11%
1.78/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.33
+66% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
320 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 78%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
18.4 Crosses 19.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hertha Berlin
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.79 xG 2.04
50% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
382 Passes 366
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.01.2024 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin 2-2 HT 2-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2
29.07.2023 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 1-0 HT 0-0 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin AL2
28.02.2020 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 3-3 HT 3-0 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin AL1
04.10.2019 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin 3-1 HT 2-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL1
06.04.2019 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin 1-2 HT 1-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL1
10.11.2018 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 4-1 HT 0-0 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hertha Berlin
0-2
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.04 xG 1.62
63% Ball Possession 37%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 4
461 Passes 229
86% Pass Accuracy 73%
15 Box Touches 19
23 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hertha Berlin vs Fortuna Düsseldorf
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortuna Düsseldorf beat Hertha Berlin 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Hertha Berlin at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hertha Berlin had 63% of the ball to Fortuna Düsseldorf's 37%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 1.04 to 1.62.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fortuna Düsseldorf led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Hertha Berlin and 2.17 for Fortuna Düsseldorf.

What was the final score of Hertha Berlin vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?

Hertha Berlin 0-2 Fortuna Düsseldorf in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hertha Berlin vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hertha Berlin win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Hertha Berlin 41%, draw 25%, Fortuna Düsseldorf 34%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hertha Berlin) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AL2 More Germany - 2. Bundesliga
15 Sep 2024
14:30 Hamburg vs Jahn Regensburg Analysis →
14:30 Greuther Fürth vs Elversberg Analysis →