Hertha Berlin 2-2 Fortuna Düsseldorf — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.53
No
49%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.42
2-3 Goals
39%
1.88
4-5 Goals
25%
2.91
6+ Goals
11%
8.53
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.79
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
24.7
1/X
5%
12.25
X/1
11%
6.12
X/2
14%
5.53
X/X
13%
5.17
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
18%
3.28
2/X
8%
12.2
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.7 — our 7% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-0.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
39%
Away Win
38%
+0.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+4.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-4.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
61%
-10.0pp
49%
BTTS No
39%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hertha Berlin EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf EU Bookmakers 43%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +6%
1.45/1.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.18
+95% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +25%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
294 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 77%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.7
15.0 Crosses 21.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hertha Berlin
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.99 xG 2.01
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
402 Passes 340
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.07.2023 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 1-0 HT 0-0 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin AL2
28.02.2020 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 3-3 HT 3-0 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin AL1
04.10.2019 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin 3-1 HT 2-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL1
06.04.2019 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin 1-2 HT 1-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL1
10.11.2018 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 4-1 HT 0-0 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin AL1
15.05.2012 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 2-2 HT 1-1 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin AL1P
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hertha Berlin
2-2
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf
0.96 xG 2.18
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 4
304 Passes 474
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 17
9 Crosses 20
6 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hertha Berlin vs Fortuna Düsseldorf
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hertha Berlin and Fortuna Düsseldorf shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (35% / 26% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Hertha Berlin had 41% of the ball to Fortuna Düsseldorf's 59%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 0.96 to 2.18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fortuna Düsseldorf led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Hertha Berlin and 2.17 for Fortuna Düsseldorf.

What was the final score of Hertha Berlin vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?

Hertha Berlin 2-2 Fortuna Düsseldorf in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hertha Berlin vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fortuna Düsseldorf win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Hertha Berlin 35%, draw 26%, Fortuna Düsseldorf 39%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fortuna Düsseldorf) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fortuna Düsseldorf) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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