Magdeburg 1-0 Wehen Wiesbaden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 21 Jan 2024

Magdeburg
1-0 HT 0-0
Wehen Wiesbaden
📅21/01/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Magdeburg vs Wehen Wiesbaden Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.43
Over 2.5
56%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.55
No
42%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
5.25
2-3 Goals
41%
1.97
4-5 Goals
27%
2.69
6+ Goals
14%
6.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.06
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
9%
14.3
X/1
16%
4.2
X/2
7%
9.85
X/X
11%
6.33
2/1
6%
19.8
2/2
12%
6.58
2/X
5%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
57%
-6.9pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.0pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+3.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.6pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Magdeburg v Wehen Wiesbaden — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Magdeburg EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Wehen Wiesbaden EU Bookmakers 25%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
1.69/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.83
-5% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +13%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
352 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 72%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
16.4 Crosses 16.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6

Magdeburg vs Wehen Wiesbaden Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Magdeburg
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Wehen Wiesbaden
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.39 xG 0.78
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
543 Passes 172
85% Pass Accuracy 67%
40 Box Touches 11
10 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.07.2023 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 1-1 HT 0-1 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL2
05.02.2022 Magdeburg Magdeburg 3-1 HT 1-1 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden AL3
28.08.2021 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 2-4 HT 0-2 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL3
27.02.2021 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 1-0 HT 0-0 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL3
24.10.2020 Magdeburg Magdeburg 1-2 HT 0-0 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden AL3
13.04.2018 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 1-2 HT 0-0 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL3

Magdeburg 1-0 Wehen Wiesbaden — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Magdeburg
1-0
AWAY Wehen Wiesbaden
0.79 xG 0.94
64% Ball Possession 36%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 1
509 Passes 233
85% Pass Accuracy 70%
24 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Magdeburg vs Wehen Wiesbaden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Magdeburg nicked a narrow win over Wehen Wiesbaden 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Magdeburg as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Magdeburg had 64% of the ball to Wehen Wiesbaden's 36%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 0.79 to 0.94.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Magdeburg had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Magdeburg and 1.33 for Wehen Wiesbaden.

What was the final score of Magdeburg vs Wehen Wiesbaden?

Magdeburg 1-0 Wehen Wiesbaden in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Magdeburg vs Wehen Wiesbaden?

Before kick-off our model rated a Magdeburg win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Magdeburg 50%, draw 25%, Wehen Wiesbaden 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Magdeburg) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Magdeburg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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