Zira 2-0 Neftçi PFK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.52
Over 2.5
43%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+1.0pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.3pp
29%
Away Win
29%
-0.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.4pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zira EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Neftçi PFK EU Bookmakers 32%
+14% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.46/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.46
+22% / +71% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -21%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
291 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zira
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Neftçi PFK
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2024 Zira Zira 3-1 HT 1-1 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK AZERS
18.02.2024 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK 1-0 HT 1-0 Zira Zira AZERS
03.12.2023 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK 1-0 HT 0-0 Zira Zira AZERS
23.09.2023 Zira Zira 1-1 HT 1-1 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK AZERS
01.04.2023 Zira Zira 1-1 HT 0-1 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK AZERS
01.02.2023 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK 1-0 HT 0-0 Zira Zira AZERS
POST-MATCH Zira vs Neftçi PFK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zira saw off Neftçi PFK 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Zira as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Neftçi PFK led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Zira and 1.00 for Neftçi PFK.

What was the final score of Zira vs Neftçi PFK?

Zira 2-0 Neftçi PFK in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zira vs Neftçi PFK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zira win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Zira 43%, draw 28%, Neftçi PFK 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zira), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zira) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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