Sabah 2-2 Turan Tovuz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 15 Sep 2024

Sabah
2-2 HT 1-1
Turan Tovuz
📅15/09/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Azerbaijan - Super League – 2024/2025

Sabah vs Turan Tovuz Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.6
Over 2.5
50%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.09
No
47%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-4.8pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.7pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+6.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
59%
-9.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
41%
+9.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
44%
+8.9pp
47%
BTTS No
56%
-8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sabah v Turan Tovuz — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sabah EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Turan Tovuz EU Bookmakers 24%
-3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.86/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.85
+9% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -23%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
341 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.4

Sabah vs Turan Tovuz Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sabah
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Turan Tovuz
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
66% Ball Possession 34%
13 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
06.04.2024 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 2-0 HT 1-0 Sabah Sabah AZERS
03.02.2024 Sabah Sabah 1-1 HT 1-1 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
11.11.2023 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 2-3 HT 2-3 Sabah Sabah AZERS
01.09.2023 Sabah Sabah 0-3 HT 0-1 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
22.04.2023 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 0-2 HT 0-1 Sabah Sabah AZERS
19.02.2023 Sabah Sabah 0-2 HT 0-1 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
POST-MATCH Sabah vs Turan Tovuz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sabah and Turan Tovuz shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sabah at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Turan Tovuz led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sabah and 1.67 for Turan Tovuz.

What was the final score of Sabah vs Turan Tovuz?

Sabah 2-2 Turan Tovuz in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sabah vs Turan Tovuz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sabah win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Sabah 48%, draw 24%, Turan Tovuz 27%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sabah) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sabah) ✓ BTTS Yes
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