St. Truidense 2-1 OH Leuven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 15 Sep 2024

St. Truidense
2-1 HT 1-0
OH Leuven
📅15/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2025/2026

St. Truidense vs OH Leuven Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
40%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.42
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.47
6+ Goals
11%
13.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.42 — our 28% vs market 23.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.1
1/2
6%
27.0
1/X
9%
13.0
X/1
15%
5.99
X/2
12%
5.21
X/X
12%
4.63
2/1
8%
30.5
2/2
21%
3.36
2/X
6%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-0.5pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.6pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+1.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.6pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

St. Truidense v OH Leuven — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Truidense EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY OH Leuven EU Bookmakers 43%
-2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -7%
1.43/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.16
+5% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
344 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 79%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.9
16.4 Crosses 17.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8

St. Truidense vs OH Leuven Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Truidense
0W-4D-2L
AWAY OH Leuven
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.87 xG 1.40
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
466 Passes 304
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
17.05.2024 St. Truidense St. Truidense 1-1 HT 0-0 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
20.04.2024 OH Leuven OH Leuven 1-0 HT 0-0 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
09.12.2023 St. Truidense St. Truidense 1-1 HT 1-1 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
22.10.2023 OH Leuven OH Leuven 4-0 HT 2-0 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
28.01.2023 OH Leuven OH Leuven 1-1 HT 0-1 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
22.10.2022 St. Truidense St. Truidense 0-0 HT 0-0 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
POST-MATCH St. Truidense vs OH Leuven
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Truidense edged past OH Leuven 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 27% / 40% — and on the day St. Truidense made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, OH Leuven led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for St. Truidense and 1.33 for OH Leuven.

What was the final score of St. Truidense vs OH Leuven?

St. Truidense 2-1 OH Leuven in the Belgium - Pro League on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Truidense vs OH Leuven?

Before kick-off our model rated an OH Leuven win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split St. Truidense 33%, draw 27%, OH Leuven 40%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (OH Leuven), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (OH Leuven) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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