Gent 2-0 Mechelen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 15 Sep 2024

Gent
2-0 HT 2-0
Mechelen
📅15/09/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2024/2025

Gent vs Mechelen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.76
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.38
Over 2.5
57%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.53
No
44%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.08
2-3 Goals
39%
1.96
4-5 Goals
28%
2.74
6+ Goals
12%
7.13
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.24
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.25
X/1
15%
4.45
X/2
7%
9.09
X/X
10%
5.88
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
20.65
2/2
12%
6.02
2/X
9%
13.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.65 — our 11% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-6.4pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.5pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
38%
+4.8pp
57%
Over 2.5
62%
-4.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
61%
-4.7pp
44%
BTTS No
39%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gent v Mechelen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gent EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Mechelen EU Bookmakers 27%
-6% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -8%
1.92/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.78
+1% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -17%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
410 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 80%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
18.5 Crosses 15.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8

Gent vs Mechelen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gent
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Mechelen
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.09 xG 0.78
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
414 Passes 352
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
27 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.05.2024 Mechelen Mechelen 2-4 HT 2-3 Gent Gent BEL
20.04.2024 Gent Gent 3-1 HT 1-0 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
19.01.2024 Gent Gent 1-2 HT 0-1 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
06.08.2023 Mechelen Mechelen 0-1 HT 0-0 Gent Gent BEL
16.04.2023 Mechelen Mechelen 1-1 HT 1-1 Gent Gent BEL
16.10.2022 Gent Gent 3-0 HT 1-0 Mechelen Mechelen BEL

Gent 2-0 Mechelen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gent
2-0
AWAY Mechelen
1.79 xG 2.05
49% Ball Possession 51%
22 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
406 Passes 433
86% Pass Accuracy 85%
26 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ Gent vs Mechelen
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Gent beat Mechelen 2-0 in the Belgium - Pro League on 15 Sep 2024.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 57% and both teams to score was close to even at 56%.

On the day, Gent had 49% of the ball to Mechelen's 51%, shots finished 22-11, expected goals 1.79 to 2.05.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gent have the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Gent and 1.00 for Mechelen.

What was the final score of Gent vs Mechelen?

Gent 2-0 Mechelen in the Belgium - Pro League on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gent vs Mechelen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gent win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Gent 46%, draw 26%, Mechelen 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gent) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gent) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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