Gent 3-1 Mechelen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 20 Apr 2024

Gent
3-1 HT 1-0
Mechelen
📅20/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✓
Belgium - Pro League – 2023/2024

Gent vs Mechelen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.51
Over 2.5
57%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.56
No
48%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.33
2-3 Goals
38%
1.99
4-5 Goals
27%
2.68
6+ Goals
12%
6.67
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.95
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.1
X/1
15%
4.08
X/2
9%
10.85
X/X
8%
6.59
2/1
7%
19.7
2/2
10%
7.38
2/X
6%
15.45
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.5 — our 7% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
60%
-7.2pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.1pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+7.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
36%
+7.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
64%
-7.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.7pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gent v Mechelen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gent EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Mechelen EU Bookmakers 22%
-4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / +0%
2.07/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/2.07
+4% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -24%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
383 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 77%
29.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
19.3 Crosses 14.2
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2

Gent vs Mechelen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gent
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Mechelen
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.74 xG 1.18
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
374 Passes 341
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
30 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.01.2024 Gent Gent 1-2 HT 0-1 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
06.08.2023 Mechelen Mechelen 0-1 HT 0-0 Gent Gent BEL
16.04.2023 Mechelen Mechelen 1-1 HT 1-1 Gent Gent BEL
16.10.2022 Gent Gent 3-0 HT 1-0 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
10.05.2022 Mechelen Mechelen 1-2 HT 0-1 Gent Gent BEL
07.05.2022 Gent Gent 1-0 HT 0-0 Mechelen Mechelen BEL

Gent 3-1 Mechelen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gent
3-1
AWAY Mechelen
2.78 xG 0.81
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
447 Passes 401
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
29 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Gent vs Mechelen
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Gent beat Mechelen 3-1 in the Belgium - Pro League on 20 Apr 2024. Half-time: 1-0.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 57% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Gent had 52% of the ball to Mechelen's 48%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 2.78 to 0.81.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gent have the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Gent and 0.67 for Mechelen.

What was the final score of Gent vs Mechelen?

Gent 3-1 Mechelen in the Belgium - Pro League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gent vs Mechelen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gent win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Gent 52%, draw 21%, Mechelen 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gent), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gent) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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