OH Leuven 1-0 St. Truidense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 20 Apr 2024

OH Leuven
1-0 HT 0-0
St. Truidense
📅20/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2025/2026

OH Leuven vs St. Truidense Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.88
2-3 Goals
36%
1.84
4-5 Goals
26%
3.17
6+ Goals
11%
10.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.55
1/2
7%
27.5
1/X
8%
12.45
X/1
13%
5.64
X/2
14%
5.82
X/X
13%
4.87
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
26.5
2/2
15%
3.7
2/X
5%
12.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.5 — our 9% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
+0.1pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.4pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.7pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

OH Leuven v St. Truidense — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME OH Leuven EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Truidense EU Bookmakers 39%
+11% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +5%
1.49/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.12
+33% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +14%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
284 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 70%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
16.7 Crosses 16.7
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.3

OH Leuven vs St. Truidense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME OH Leuven
2W-3D-1L
AWAY St. Truidense
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.46 xG 1.09
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
352 Passes 346
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.12.2023 St. Truidense St. Truidense 1-1 HT 1-1 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
22.10.2023 OH Leuven OH Leuven 4-0 HT 2-0 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
28.01.2023 OH Leuven OH Leuven 1-1 HT 0-1 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
22.10.2022 St. Truidense St. Truidense 0-0 HT 0-0 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
20.02.2022 St. Truidense St. Truidense 2-0 HT 1-0 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
24.10.2021 OH Leuven OH Leuven 4-1 HT 0-0 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
POST-MATCH OH Leuven vs St. Truidense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

OH Leuven edged past St. Truidense 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; OH Leuven found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, OH Leuven had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for OH Leuven and 0.83 for St. Truidense.

What was the final score of OH Leuven vs St. Truidense?

OH Leuven 1-0 St. Truidense in the Belgium - Pro League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for OH Leuven vs St. Truidense?

Before kick-off our model rated a OH Leuven win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split OH Leuven 37%, draw 26%, St. Truidense 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (OH Leuven) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (OH Leuven) ✗ Over 2.5
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