Dnepr Rogachev 0-0 Bumprom — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
20%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
19%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
59%
-4.5pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.0pp
20%
Away Win
19%
+1.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dnepr Rogachev EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Bumprom EU Bookmakers 22%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
2.53/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.30
+8% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +33%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
332 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dnepr Rogachev
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Bumprom
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
23.09.2023 Dnepr Rogachev Dnepr Rogachev 2-0 HT 2-0 Bumprom Bumprom BLR1
20.05.2023 Bumprom Bumprom 2-2 HT 1-2 Dnepr Rogachev Dnepr Rogachev BLR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dnepr Rogachev
0-0
AWAY Bumprom
56% Ball Possession 44%
29 Total Shots 5
14 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dnepr Rogachev vs Bumprom
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dnepr Rogachev and Bumprom played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Dnepr Rogachev at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Dnepr Rogachev had 56% of the ball to Bumprom's 44%, shots finished 29-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Dnepr Rogachev had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Dnepr Rogachev and 1.00 for Bumprom.

What was the final score of Dnepr Rogachev vs Bumprom?

Dnepr Rogachev 0-0 Bumprom in the Belarus - 1st Division on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dnepr Rogachev vs Bumprom?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dnepr Rogachev win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Dnepr Rogachev 55%, draw 25%, Bumprom 20%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Dnepr Rogachev), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dnepr Rogachev) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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