Ostrovets FC 0-5 Orsha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 15 Sep 2024

Ostrovets FC
0-5 HT 0-2
Orsha
📅15/09/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Belarus - 1st Division – 2024

Ostrovets FC vs Orsha Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.1
Over 2.5
60%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
No
43%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-2.4pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.7pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+4.1pp
40%
Under 2.5
44%
-3.8pp
60%
Over 2.5
56%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ostrovets FC v Orsha — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ostrovets FC EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Orsha EU Bookmakers 31%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.48/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.82
-9% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
308 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.2

Ostrovets FC vs Orsha Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ostrovets FC
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Orsha
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
17.05.2024 Orsha Orsha 1-1 HT 1-0 Ostrovets FC Ostrovets FC BLR1
23.09.2023 Ostrovets FC Ostrovets FC 4-4 HT 1-1 Orsha Orsha BLR1
POST-MATCH Ostrovets FC vs Orsha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orsha swept aside Ostrovets FC 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Ostrovets FC at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, over 2.5 goals (60%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Ostrovets FC and 2.50 for Orsha.

What was the final score of Ostrovets FC vs Orsha?

Ostrovets FC 0-5 Orsha in the Belarus - 1st Division on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ostrovets FC vs Orsha?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ostrovets FC win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ostrovets FC 42%, draw 26%, Orsha 31%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Ostrovets FC), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ostrovets FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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